TOKPREDICTIONS
What readers expect to happen
Participant predictions on questions with a verifiable answer. Not a model, not a forecast, and never a result. Opinion polls are separate and are never shown beside these.
Three different things, kept apart
Participant predictions are what readers here think will happen. Sourced models come from named third-party forecasters and are attributed when shown. Official results come from the body that declares them. Yakata does not blend these into a single number, and does not generate election outcome probabilities of its own.
Nothing is staked, nothing is paid out, and nothing here is a bet. Entries lock on the server at the deadline.
No prediction questions yet
Questions are written by the newsroom and must have an objectively verifiable answer with a source to resolve against. None exist yet.